Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 77397.941087 81727.736624 86059.178862 90714.330775 95572.749379 100490.639642 105841.916515
2026-01-25 70043.722460 76620.995920 83386.339848 90855.832470 98862.000796 107176.349525 116453.938416
2026-02-01 64599.107376 72682.845332 81183.006705 90768.157887 101256.456503 112364.542819 124998.726331
2026-02-08 60930.106915 70188.274326 80103.589030 91481.042404 104142.694196 117767.942690 133505.372943
2026-02-15 57460.241216 67591.000685 78618.404663 91467.073467 105978.250912 121810.703520 140341.126055
2026-02-22 55324.285590 66293.509717 78405.490704 92708.071725 109069.504923 127134.728541 148520.194129
2026-03-01 53231.381494 64889.722351 77933.864557 93527.909806 111576.734825 131722.140829 155816.641052
2026-03-08 50850.510105 63013.457330 76794.767347 93463.460682 112970.282859 134965.572955 161526.596505
2026-03-15 48912.662330 61550.884423 76040.128649 93755.990371 114700.834231 138539.467603 167580.903907
2026-03-22 47798.636642 60998.692162 76294.914462 95181.901079 117717.625858 143583.179798 175342.889762
2026-03-29 46584.383469 60260.240890 76272.111171 96229.731480 120253.027534 148047.077941 182430.351955
2026-04-05 45237.673470 59297.630355 75925.378335 96840.690467 122231.257325 151833.811906 188717.300171
2026-04-12 43701.076595 58058.918799 75212.695606 96989.372363 123652.004593 154977.819587 194288.182089
2026-04-19 42304.475474 56943.411830 74606.613803 97230.469152 125158.589438 158214.256177 199979.510573
2026-04-26 40842.551887 55691.131719 73782.639469 97158.526440 126247.580881 160925.915591 205033.027405
2026-05-03 39868.582237 55021.073163 73650.510287 97916.751943 128337.879640 164844.551922 211559.933287
2026-05-10 38592.724156 53917.066960 72931.662581 97903.052227 129442.565451 167543.549726 216596.862948
2026-05-17 37993.598972 53666.985041 73275.273044 99214.942472 132195.396900 172272.307733 224148.018204
2026-05-24 37231.233782 53173.753882 73283.680448 100081.412151 134378.346397 176299.083833 230851.252090
2026-05-31 36102.215330 52158.334365 72585.907670 100013.316871 135356.378961 178816.625895 235682.814155
2026-06-07 35189.593778 51402.444777 72198.755808 100322.452078 136797.706867 181906.003236 241234.085981
2026-06-14 34820.303968 51363.683220 72738.622091 101829.152544 139774.205148 186935.763873 249246.322044
2026-06-21 34306.853995 51110.066388 72980.427501 102936.205366 142234.193435 191322.772849 256473.827289